Propensity Modeling

Estimate likelihood of an employee taking an action such as promotion or training completion.

• Who is likely to complete leadership training?
• Which candidates are likely to accept offers?

• Clean employee event history
• Consistent definitions
• Adequate sample size

Logistic models or gradient boosting on historical action data.

Target manager referrals for roles where internal employees show high promotion propensity.

Propensity scores improve targeting efficiency of HR programs.

Class imbalance; stale training data after policy changes.